[ AI churn prediction ]

See Which Customers Are Drifting Away While There Is Still Time

We build churn models on your product usage, billing and support data, score every account, explain why it is at risk and put the right retention step in front of your team.

Risk scores for every account
Weekly
Risk scores for every account
Reasons shown behind each score
Top 5
Reasons shown behind each score
Alerts where your team already works
In your CRM
Alerts where your team already works
Hands holding a tablet showing a video call with two smiling people

Churn risk this week

Example, week 4

  • Northwind LabsGrowth plan79
    • Logins down 46%
    • 2 open tickets
    • Champion left
  • Kestrel FoodsStarter plan58
  • BrightpathScale plan35
  • Atlas ClinicsScale plan19

Sample accounts. Scores are 0 to 100 risk.

[ The problem ]

Why Churn Surprises Most Teams

By the time a cancellation request arrives, the decision was made weeks earlier.

  • 01

    Signals sit in different tools

    Usage lives in analytics, billing in Stripe and complaints in the help desk, so nobody sees the full picture.

  • 02

    Health scores are guesses

    Hand-weighted scores look tidy but rarely predict who actually leaves.

  • 03

    Success teams spread thin

    Without a ranked list, managers spend time on accounts that were never at risk.

  • 04

    No feedback loop

    Teams cannot tell which retention plays worked, so the same mistakes repeat.

[ How we build it ]

How We Build Your Churn Model

We prove the model on your past churners first, then connect it to the people who act on it.

  1. 1

    Define churn

    We agree what counts as churn for your business: cancellation, downgrade, lapse or falling usage.

    Churn definition and labels

  2. 2

    Feature build

    Usage, billing, support and account data become weekly features per customer.

    Feature pipeline

  3. 3

    Backtest

    The model predicts past churn without seeing the outcome, so you see how early and how accurately it would have warned you.

    Lift and lead time report

  4. 4

    Activate

    Scores, reasons and suggested plays are pushed to your CRM or success tool, with tracking on what happens next.

    Live scores and playbooks

[ Features ]

What the System Does

Scores your team can trust and act on, not a dashboard nobody opens.

  • 01

    Behavioral signals

    Logins, feature adoption, seat changes and usage trends, tracked week by week.

  • 02

    Explained risk

    Each score lists the drivers behind it, such as falling usage or unresolved tickets.

  • 03

    Suggested plays

    Recommended actions per risk type: a check-in, training, a discount or an executive call.

  • 04

    Cohort views

    Churn risk by plan, region, acquisition channel or onboarding path.

  • 05

    Revenue at risk

    Risk weighted by contract value so the biggest exposures come first.

  • 06

    Outcome tracking

    Saved and lost accounts feed back into the model and the playbooks.

[ What we measure ]

What We Measure With You

Targets are set during the backtest; results depend on your data and how your team acts on the alerts.

01
Lead time
Weeks of warning before a churn event
02
Precision at top
Share of flagged accounts that would have churned
03
Save rate
Flagged accounts retained after a play
04
Net revenue retention
Movement in retention for the scored segment
[ Industries ]

Where It Fits

  • 01SaaS and subscriptionsSeat, usage and renewal signals across monthly and annual plans.
  • 02TelecomContract end dates, network quality and billing disputes.
  • 03Financial servicesAccount activity, product holdings and service complaints.
  • 04eCommerceRepeat purchase gaps and lapsed subscription boxes.
  • 05Media streamingViewing habits, content gaps and payment failures.
[ Stack ]

Churn Modeling Stack

Built on your warehouse and pushed into the tools your team uses.

  • XGBoost
  • LightGBM
  • scikit-learn
  • SHAP
[ Start with your past churners ]

Find Out How Early You Could Have Known

We backtest on customers you already lost, so you see the warning time and accuracy before anything goes live.

Book a Churn Call
Team gathered around a wooden table reviewing work on laptops
[ Cost ]

Churn Prediction Cost

Indicative starting prices. Cloud compute is billed to your account.

Get a Fixed Quote

Feasibility backtest

Churn definition, features and a backtest

2 to 3 weeks

from$2,500

Production scoring

Weekly scores, reasons and CRM alerts

6 to 10 weeks

from$12,000

Retention program

Scores plus playbooks, experiments and outcome tracking

3 to 5 months

from$35,000

[ Client voices ]

What Customer Teams Say

  • 5.0Clutch
  • 5.0GoodFirms
  • 5.0Google
  • 4.9Upwork
I had the pleasure of working with Sajal Tech on a travel website, and it was an incredible experience from start to finish. They demonstrated professionalism, clear understanding of requirements, and excellent communication throughout.
DKDaniel KwekaCEO, Darius Digital
Knowledgeable, efficient, and ahead of schedule. Will hire again.
TMTom McGrathFounder, Tipperary | eIrish.com
They completed our project even when the scope changed slightly. They were cooperative when we wanted to add or modify features.
AUArda UygurFounder, Hallolur
[ FAQ ]

Churn Prediction Questions

  • A few hundred past churn events is a good start. With fewer, we start with a simpler model and segment rules, then improve as data builds up.

  • Yes. For annual plans we predict renewal risk several months ahead using usage and engagement trends.

  • In Salesforce, HubSpot, Gainsight or Slack, or in a simple dashboard. We match the tools your success team already uses.

  • Yes. Each score includes the top drivers, so the account owner knows what to talk about.

  • We can run holdout tests where some flagged accounts get the standard treatment, so you measure the real effect of each play.

  • Data stays in your warehouse or cloud account. We work under NDA, follow ISO 27001 practices and can mask personal fields.

[ Contact ]

Let's build your next product together

Book a free strategy call and leave with a clear plan and estimate. No commitment.

  1. 01Pick a time that suits you
  2. 0230 minutes on scope, stack, timeline and budget
  3. 03Fixed-price proposal, NDA on request
Prefer email? contact@sajaltech.com